November 2023 Private Client Letter

November 2023 Private Client Letter

In late October both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 entered correction territory following a weak third quarter for equity prices.  The reasons behind falling stock prices have been higher interest rates and weak earnings guidance from corporate executives worried about the threat of an escalation to the war in the Middle East.  By the end of the month, the S&P 500 closed about 10% below its recent peak in late July. 

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Unlocking the Benefits of the Clearwater Capital Portal’s Digital Vault

Unlocking the Benefits of the Clearwater Capital Portal’s Digital Vault

In the ever-evolving landscape of wealth management services, ensuring that our clients have easy access to their financial documents and sensitive information is paramount. That's where the Clearwater Capital Portal’s secure digital vault comes into play. Integrated into your client portal, this digital vault offers clients a streamlined way to manage and safeguard your important documents. Here's how clients can utilize it and why they should seriously consider doing so.

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Implications of U.S. Fiscal Issues

Implications of U.S. Fiscal Issues

The U.S. government continues to spend more than it makes as detailed in the final budget results for fiscal year 2023 (ending 9/30/2023). To quickly set the stage, the government makes money through taxes (income, corporate, social security, etc.) and spends money on various programs/services (social security, healthcare, Medicare, defense, etc.)  For fiscal year 2023, government receipts totaled $4.4 trillion, government outlays totaled $6.1 trillion, resulting in a $1.7 trillion deficit, roughly 6% of GDP. Out of the last 50 years, we’ve only had 5 years in which we had a budget surplus.

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Are You Considering Relocating to Another State?

Are You Considering Relocating to Another State?

As I wrote in a 2019 post, the potential impact of future taxes is often an important consideration for retirees when choosing to move to another state.  Besides moving to an area with a warmer climate or closer to family and friends, the goal of minimizing expenses, including taxes, is often at the top of the priority list.

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October Private Client Letter

October Private Client Letter

Over the past several months I have warned of potential weakness in equities following a rally earlier in the year that saw the S&P 500 rise by as much as 20% from the beginning of the year.  It appeared that valuations were being stretched as the market breadth narrowed.  In other words, equity prices were rising faster than corporate earnings and the gains had become dominated by only a handful of mega cap names in the communication and information technology sectors. 

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Women Beyond Wealth

Women Beyond Wealth

In July, I had the opportunity to attend the Family Wealth Alliance’s (FWA) Women’s Summit held in Boston—an event dedicated to "Elevating Women in Family Wealth”. The atmosphere was charged with energy and enthusiasm as women from the Multi Family Office industry gathered to collaborate, exchange ideas, and celebrate the achievements of women advisors.

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The Financial Plan every Woman Needs to Have in Place.

The Financial Plan every Woman Needs to Have in Place.

By 2030, women will likely be in control of $30 Trillion (with a T) according to a recent McKinsey study1.  To put this in perspective, the US GDP hit $26.84 Trillion at the end of the 2nd quarter of 2023 (US Bureau of Economic Analysis).

To prepare for this transfer of wealth, it’s critical every woman has a financial plan in place that incorporates these five components.

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September Private Client Letter

September Private Client Letter

With another summer winding down and kids heading back to school, we are entering the month of September with a bit of trepidation.  Not only have U.S. equities rallied this year against the backdrop of declining earnings, but September has also historically been the worst month of the year for stocks.  If investors could choose to skip past any month based on the historical action, September would be it.

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Navigating Social Security: A Case Study Assessing Options for Couples

Navigating Social Security: A Case Study Assessing Options for Couples

Making informed decisions about when to claim Social Security benefits is crucial for couples to maximize their retirement income. The optimal claiming strategy depends on various factors, including each spouse's earned benefit, ages, and their ability to invest excess Social Security income. This case study explores three scenarios to show how and when the math changes on benefit maximization.

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2023 Mid Year Update

Welcome to the 2023 Mid Year Update. In our original Outlook 2023 report, we assessed economic and market conditions coming into the new year with a cautionary perspective.  The macro headwinds in 2022 were very real and generally hostile. We had the highest inflation in 40 years, with the most aggressive monetary tightening campaign in decades. We also had the war in Ukraine, political upheaval, and the collapse of the crypto ecosystem, among many other problems.

What to Make of This Year’s Equity Rally

What to Make of This Year’s Equity Rally

Following the most aggressive monetary tightening cycle in the past 40 years, stock prices are approaching the threshold of a new bull market - rising almost 20% from the bear market low last October.  A cursory look at U.S. equity price movement so far in 2023 would suggest that stocks have been able to shrug off a wide range of troubling issues.

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The Debt Ceiling: A Crucial Component of Fiscal Policy with Far-reaching Consequences

The Debt Ceiling: A Crucial Component of Fiscal Policy with Far-reaching Consequences

On Saturday, June 3rd President Biden signed the debt ceiling bill, avoiding a potential waterfall of economic headlines. His signing comes just 2 days before the date the Treasury said the government would run out of money. Understanding this critical component of fiscal governance is vital in grasping its potential impact on the nation's economy and financial stability.

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Valuing an Advisor

Valuing an Advisor

Many have sought to put a monetary value on the benefit of an advisor, but it is difficult to pin down quantitatively due to the essential uniqueness of each client-advisor relationship. There are many components to creating a cohesive, clear, and personalized financial plan to grow and adapt to the many different stages of life. A few of the many forms of strategic advising include tax planning, estate planning, business succession planning, charitable and philanthropic planning, and investment management. The overarching goal of these various components is to make wealth complement an individual's lifestyle and discover what a meaningful use of wealth means for each client.

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May Private Client Letter - Sell in May and Go Away?

May Private Client Letter - Sell in May and Go Away?

The Federal Reserve and Chairman Jerome Powell will hold its latest policy meeting on Wednesday, May 3rd.  The central bank is largely expected to deliver on another 25-basis point hike to the Fed Funds rate, bringing the benchmark rate to a range of 5.00% - 5.25%.   This would mark the 10th straight rate hike this cycle and take the Fed Funds rate to its highest level since 2007.  

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